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International risk of yellow fever spread from the ongoing outbreak in Brazil

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Title: International risk of yellow fever spread from the ongoing outbreak in Brazil
Authors: Dorigatti, I
Hamlet, A
Aguas, R
Cattarino, L
Cori, A
Donnelly, C
Garske, T
Imai, N
Ferguson, N
Item Type: Working Paper
Abstract: The largest Yellow Fever (YF) outbreak in a decade in Latin America is underway in the Southeast of Brazil. In this article we provide a quantitative assessment of the risk of travel-related international spread of YF. We argue that mitigating the risk of imported YF cases seeding local transmission requires heightened surveillance in the southern United States, Latin America (especially Argentina, Chile and Uruguay) and Europe (especially Portugal, Spain, Italy and Germany).
Issue Date: 23-Jun-2017
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/66380
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.1101/152280
Publisher: bioRxiv
Copyright Statement: © 2017 The Author(s). This preprint is licensed under a CC-BY-NC 4.0 International license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Sponsor/Funder: Medical Research Council (MRC)
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Funder's Grant Number: MR/K010174/1B
MR/R015600/1
Publication Status: Published
Appears in Collections:Epidemiology, Public Health and Primary Care



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